Global Consumer Confidence Rebounding, and Sales Start to Follow
February 05, 2010
Global consumers are increasingly feeling confident about the state of the economy and their own finances, and while Asia has spearheaded that rebound, signs are pointing to improved consumer behavior in other parts of the world. According to the latest edition of the Nielsen Economic Current, volume and value sales reached their highest point since the monthly survey was launched in January 2009. Of the twelve countries examined, only one - Germany - showed a decline in the survey, while France and Taiwan recorded improvement.
"While these results are encouraging, consumers in most parts of the world remain cautious about spending their money, and are increasingly moving to value channels. At the same time, retailers are selling more on promotion. It's likely these trends will continue until economic recovery has solidly taken root," said James Russo, Vice President, Global Consumer Insight at The Nielsen Company.
Nielsen Economic Current
Key Indicators
Country
Trend
Aug-09
Sep-09
Brazil
1
1
Canada
2
2
China
2
2
France
3
2
Germany
3
4
Hong Kong
2
2
India
1
1
Italy
3
3
Spain
3
3
Taiwan
3
1
United Kingdom
2
2
United States
3
3
Source: The Nielsen Company
1=Very Strong Growth >/= +5%;
2 = Growth between +1 and +4%;
3 =Neutral Between -1 and +1%;
4 =Negative between -1 and -4%;
5 = Very Negative
Country by Country Highlights
U.S. - Consumers continue to be skittish about the recovery and
their willingness to spend money. Store brands, value channels and
buying on promotion all showed growth as manufacturers continued to
step up incentives and deals.
Canada - Volume and value sales grew in September 2009, with strong
growth in the number of retailers selling on promotion. Unit sales
rebounded as price increases stabilized at 2 percent.
France - Volume and values sales showed some growth, but with
confidence dropping in the September survey, French shoppers actually
reduced their shopping frequency.
Germany - Volume sales remained neutral, while value sales recorded a
small decline. Germans continue to watch their Euros as their
confidence in the economy has dipped.
U.K. - Volume sales improved, and premium brands returned to
growth. Consumers were taking advantage of the strong promotions
on offer, shopping more frequently and spending more per trip - despite
slightly decreased consumer confidence.
Italy - Italian consumers cut back the frequency of their shopping
trips, but spent more per trip, taking advantage of retailer promotions
and switching to store brands. Volume was up, but value sales were
down.
Spain - Spaniards remained neutral in their spending habits, but did
start shopping more frequently for the first time in nine months.
Brazil - All indicators show that Brazil has returned to levels
prior to the global economic crisis. Volume and value sales were
up, and shoppers were feeling confident: shopping frequency and spend
per trip both increased.
India - Volume and value sales indicators each posted better than 5
percent growth, and Indians are feeling very optimistic about the
economy and finances.
China - While retail sales were relatively flat, growth is now
apparent in modern trade outlets, which may be the first sign of fast
moving consumer goods sales recovery.
Taiwan - Volume and value sales increased solidly for the first time
in nine months.
Hong Kong - Increased consumer confidence has driven growth of
volume and value sales.
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